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Men's Double Sculls (M2X)

Pre-Race Analysis and Prediction

Semi-Final A/B Heat 2

Top 3 crews advance to FA final, others to FB final.

Prediction

NOR, the bronze medalist at the 1999 Worlds, should be even with ITA with 500 meters to go. ITA backed way off in its heat in the last 500. We believe ITA will be right with NOR to the finish line, battling for the best lane assignments in the FA final. However, expect NOR to beat ITA by less than a length, even though ITA will probably lead NOR and the other crews over the first 1000 meters. That leaves a close race between POL and FRA for the 3rd qualifying spot in the FA final. FRA will be moving up on POL in the last 500 meters, but to beat POL and be 3rd, FRA must stay closer to POL in the 2nd 500 meter interval.

LANE CREW RELATIVE POSITIONS                      ELAPSED   SPLIT  
                            1500*           CREW   TIME     TIME   
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+  
  6  CUB           <CUB                      ITA  1:32.68  1:32.68
  5  FRA    <FRA                             FRA  1:33.91  1:33.91
  4  ITA <ITA                                NOR  1:34.04  1:34.04
  3  NOR    <NOR                             UKR  1:34.65  1:34.65
  2  POL     <POL                            POL  1:34.69  1:34.69
  1  UKR     <UKR                            CUB  1:37.70  1:37.70
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
                            1000*
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
  6  CUB                        <            ITA  3:08.60  1:35.92
  5  FRA          <FRA                       NOR  3:10.97  1:36.93
  4  ITA <ITA                                POL  3:12.38  1:37.69
  3  NOR      <NOR                           FRA  3:13.42  1:39.51
  2  POL        <POL                         UKR  3:15.00  1:40.35
  1  UKR             <UKR                    CUB  3:20.97  1:43.26
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
                            500 *
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
  6  CUB                                     ITA  4:46.54  1:37.94
  5  FRA                <FRA                 NOR  4:46.64  1:35.67
  4  ITA <ITA                                POL  4:52.38  1:40.00
  3  NOR <NOR                                FRA  4:54.54  1:41.11
  2  POL            <POL                     UKR  4:56.91  1:41.90
  1  UKR                     <UKR            CUB  5:01.64  1:40.67
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
                          FINISH*
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
  6  CUB                                     NOR  6:25.63  1:38.98
  5  FRA               <FRA                  ITA  6:26.00  1:39.45
  4  ITA  <ITA                               POL  6:31.91  1:39.52
  3  NOR <NOR                                FRA  6:32.69  1:38.14
  2  POL             <POL                    UKR  6:38.05  1:41.14
  1  UKR                                     CUB  6:40.26  1:38.62
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+

Prediction 508

Copyright 2000. Kent Mitchell.
http://www.jamcoworldrowers.com

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