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Men's Eight (M8+)

Pre-Race Analysis and Prediction

Repechage Heat 2

Top 2 crews advance to FA final. Others to FB final.

Prediction

GBR looks good for a place in the FA final with a victory in this race. ITA has recently beefed up its 8+ with members from it recent World Championship quad group, and is strong for the first 1000 meters. ITA needs to hold off GBR's expected move at the 1000 to be in position to win this race, and certainly has to be ready for a strong challenge from NED in the last 1000 meters to capture 2nd place for a slot in the FA final. RUS needs to do better in the first 500, make its expected move up a bit in the 2nd 500, stop everyone's moves in the 3rd 500, and put a good closing sprint together. >From the looks of the splits in the race prediction report that follows which is a straight mix of the crews' times in their heats, the times to the 1500 look about right, but some backing off in the RUS boat may have occurred in its last 500.

For now, GBR and NED look like FA qualifiers.

LANE CREW RELATIVE POSITIONS                      ELAPSED   SPLIT  
                            1500*           CREW   TIME     TIME   
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+  
  4  ITA <ITA                                ITA  1:21.47  1:21.47
  3  NED  <NED                               NED  1:22.05  1:22.05
  2  GBR   <GBR                              GBR  1:22.97  1:22.97
  1  RUS    <RUS                             RUS  1:24.02  1:24.02
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
                            1000*
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
  4  ITA <ITA                                ITA  2:46.83  1:25.35
  3  NED     <NED                            GBR  2:47.47  1:24.49
  2  GBR  <GBR                               RUS  2:49.47  1:25.44
  1  RUS    <RUS                             NED  2:50.04  1:27.98
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
                            500 *
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
  4  ITA    <ITA                             GBR  4:11.07  1:23.60
  3  NED      <NED                           ITA  4:13.27  1:26.44
  2  GBR <GBR                                RUS  4:13.83  1:24.36
  1  RUS     <RUS                            NED  4:14.88  1:24.84
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
                          FINISH*
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
  4  ITA        <ITA                         GBR  5:34.47  1:23.39
  3  NED    <NED                             NED  5:36.41  1:21.52
  2  GBR <GBR                                ITA  5:39.69  1:26.41
  1  RUS         <RUS                        RUS  5:40.54  1:26.70
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+

Prediction 231

Copyright 2000. Kent Mitchell.

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Copyright 1999-2001. Kent Mitchell. All Rights Reserved.
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